Disclaimer:
We do not recommend the use of technical analysis as a sole means of trading decisions. We do not recommend making hurried trading decisions. You should always understand that PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
INDEX : NEPSE
TIMEFRAME: 6 Months
Yo chart hamro purano chart ho ra aaja cycle analysis ko lagi feri ma yo chart lai agadi liyera aayeko xu. Past cycle 27th July 2016 jaha market le cycle top lagayeko thiyo. Tyo samaye ko Correction
Lagvag 41.5% thiyo vane first 6 month doji tespaxi ko 6 months candle green ra antim drop candle red maa closed dekhna sakinxa. Tespaxi vane market bounce hune time maa covid crisis le garda market maa selling aaye pani pahile ko low vane retest garena ra HTF higher low sangai market le feri August 2021 maa cycle top lagayeko thiyo. Ahile samma ko drop ko measure line ho vane lagvag market 44% le drop vaisakeko xa vane ahile samma side range maa raheko xa.
Sabai vanda ramailo kura k xa vane, Purano cycle maa jasari price movements thiyo, ahile ko cycle maa pani lagvag similar dekhna sakinxa. Example: market 41.5% drop paxi doji dubai cycle maa, second 6 months candle green closed xa dubai cycle maa ra ahile ko 6 months pani red maa raheko xa jun agadi ko cycle maa red closed vayeko thiyo.
Yedi cycle follow hunxa vane hami le k samma anuman garna sakinxa?
👉 Yethaha sambhawa ta market lagvag final drop maa xa ra yo bottom nai cycle ko antim fall hunexa.
👉New low hola nahola tara cycle repeat hunxa vane yo drop 1600 jane chance yekdam thoraixa. (May be not even below 1800 closed)
👉yo year ko end samma maa market lagvag 2000 mathi closed hune chances pani high dekhinxa. Jasko karan 2024 ko suruwat “Green Year” with some huge sell-off event jaha panic create garna sakne environment bata hune chances xa.
👉antya maa: mid 2024-2025 bull rally hune chances pani high dekhinxa. Sayed aaune bull cycle pahileko cycle vanda alikati long time samma sustain hune chances pani dherai dekhinxa.
“Prepare yourself or stay behind”
Again: yo mero aafno analysis ho. Kunai financial advice vane pakkai haina.
Suva-Ratri ✌️🫶🙏🏻
